Los Angeles Business Journal
Los Angeles Business Journal
Search last 90 days
ARCHIVES SEARCH
SIGN IN
WRITE US
Los Angeles Business News
Los Angeles Business Journal
 

INDUSTRY-SPECIFIC NEWS STORIES:
LABJ Poll
What do you think about increases in parking fines and traffic tickets, plus more red light cameras?
Los Angeles Business news
  That's OK. Just obey the law.
  No. Higher fines and increased enforcement are becoming too costly for too many people.
Los Angeles Business news
View Results
 
 

October Housing Prices Edge Up as Sales Slow

Los Angeles Business Journal Staff

Though the housing market is displaying some signs of health, economists say they could be misleading.

Home prices in Los Angeles County edged up in October, while sales volume continued a slow downward drift after sizzling through the summer. The increasing prices represented the continuation of a trend that started in May after a slide of almost two years.

The median price of a home was $340,000, up $5,000 from the month before, according to data supplied to the Business Journal by HomeData of Hicksville, N.Y. Adjusting for the difference in the number of selling days per month, sales volume dipped slightly – about 1.2 percent – representing the second monthly decline in a row.

Experts viewed the rising prices as further evidence that the real estate market has stabilized, at least temporarily. But some cautioned that it may be falsely propped up by government stimulus programs that eventually will end.

“About 15 percent of the mortgages in California are not performing right now,” said Christopher Thornberg, principle analyst and founder of Beacon Economics, a West L.A. consulting firm specializing in real estate. “Eventually the properties that those mortgages represent will come on the market, and when they do all hell will break loose.”

According to Thornberg, the rising prices and sales volumes are indicative of an “artificial stability” in the housing market driven by, among other things, a logjam in the foreclosure process created by a state moratorium on foreclosures, the increasing reluctance of banks to move forward on foreclosures and the federal push for loan modification programs that allow homeowners to avoid foreclosure.

Additional factors, he said, include a temporary first-time buyer’s tax credit as well as “ridiculously low” mortgage interest rates created by the federal government’s massive purchase of bad loans.

“What I’m trying to point out is that the real estate market is not healthy,” Thornberg said. “This is a false bottom that will only get worse.”

The most dramatic change in the monthly data was in Palos Verdes Estates, where sales volume increased by 533 percent. Other notable spikes were seen in Maywood, Signal Hill, parts of Culver City and the Exposition Park area of Los Angeles.

Some experts attributed it to activity at both the high and low ends.

“We’re seeing an increase in low-end buyers benefiting from the one-time credit,” said Robert Foster, executive vice president and regional manager of Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Los Angeles.

At the other end of the spectrum, he said, high-end buyers were still getting deals on what they previously couldn’t afford.

Los Angeles County’s most notable median price hikes occurred in South Park, up 213 percent, and Topanga, an increase of 138 percent.


  February 8 - 14, 2010
LA Business News
Convention-al Appeal
New downtown hotels and a bustling L.A. Live scene are hailed as big convention business boosters.
Owner Back in the Saddle at Santa Anita Race Track
A deal with creditors will allow owner Frank Stronach to hold on to the reins of Santa Anita Park.
Unions Dropping Anchor in Long Beach?
The Port of Long Beach’s use of project labor agreements may maroon nonunion contractors.
Local Latinos Make Chinese Connection
A contingent of Latino officials from L.A. cities overcame culture clash on a recent trip to China.
Browse the complete Table of Contents - stories, charts, and editorial - for the current edition of the Journal

Printer-friendly version E-mail to an associate Search Home
   

All contents of this site © 2010 Los Angeles Business Journal Associates. All rights reserved.
Los Angeles Business Journal, Los Angeles, CA 90036, USA. | Powered by FLEX360